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Watch: Fed Policy Shifts & Market Concentration Risks

Filmed on September 12th, 2025, Ryan Mumy and Justin Greenhill break down the most critical market trends affecting your portfolio. In this episode, we analyze:

      • Historic deficit spending levels without economic crisis - what happens when unemployment actually rises?
      • Federal Reserve moving goalposts on inflation targets, preparing to cut rates with inflation 50% above target
      • Passive investing has made the seven largest S&P 500 companies equal in value to the bottom 433
      • Unemployment rising to 4.3% - cyclical patterns and normalization questions
      • US companies commanding 70% of global market cap while generating only 30% of global earnings
      • CapEx spending boom hitting historic levels as AI infrastructure investment accelerates
      • Small cap vs large cap cycles and potential opportunities in underperformed assets
      • Dollar weakness, Latin American elections, and global rate cut expectations
      • Gold breaking into uncharted territory and OPEC production dynamics

 

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This presentation has been provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as legal or investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security or strategy. The investment strategy and themes discussed herein may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation. Information obtained from third-party sources is believed to be reliable though its accuracy is not guaranteed. Opinions expressed in this commentary reflect subjective judgments of the author based on conditions at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.